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Red103
857631.6
463923.0
62461.0
Blue143
384741.0
288151.7
999430.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127114050150200250300103143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points34
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#8
18Processor points6
8Net points32
26Algae points38
81Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#9
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
103Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
61.00.3
62.161.8
Auto13.0
Teleop44.0
End4.1
red by 9.2
51.70.9
45.746.6
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Second
8576
#25
31.60.3
32.732.3
Auto2.9
Teleop22.4
End6.3
blue by 9.5
3847
#19
41.00.9
35.035.8
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Third
4639
#27
23.00.3
23.323.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 7.4
9994
#21
30.31.2
22.323.5
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8