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Red124
664736.5
258234.9
23149.2
Blue133
463562.9
542726.9
876928.3
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133124050100150200250124133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
71Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +9
4Foul points0
124Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#3
49.20.0
49.549.5
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End8.8
blue by 13.7
4635
#14
62.90.5
61.161.5
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
Second
6647
#15
36.50.0
36.736.7
Auto6.8
Teleop26.9
End2.8
red by 8.2
28.30.5
26.426.9
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
Third
2582
#10
34.90.0
35.235.2
Auto8.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
red by 8.1
5427
#17
26.90.5
25.025.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7