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Red235
680081.2
118101.1
851521.9
Blue161
384741.0
288151.7
999430.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230103050150200250300350235161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+68Teleop
+78Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +54
37Coral scored#21
133Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
165Total teleop111
Reef
15L4#8
17L3#11
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points4
235Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.10.8
99.4100.2
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 49.3
51.71.1
46.647.7
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Second
81.20.8
79.580.3
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
red by 40.2
3847
#19
41.01.1
35.837.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Third
8515
#24
21.90.8
20.120.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 8.4
9994
#21
30.31.5
23.525.0
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8