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Red141
463562.9
542726.9
876928.3
Blue138
635753.3
589241.9
749244.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122149050100200250141138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+17
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
96Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
141Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
62.90.5
61.562.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
red by 9.7
53.30.1
52.752.6
Auto10.6
Teleop33.9
End8.7
Second
28.30.5
26.927.4
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
blue by 15.9
44.20.1
43.743.6
Auto9.8
Teleop32.9
End1.6
Third
5427
#17
26.90.5
25.426.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
blue by 15.1
5892
#22
41.90.1
41.341.3
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9