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Red137
557260.4
258246.4
697416.7
Blue94
354522.9
572619.1
461025.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1507005010020013794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
74Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +43
2Foul points0
137Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.3
60.160.4
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 35.0
4610
#18
25.40.6
24.725.4
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
46.40.3
46.246.4
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 23.5
22.90.7
22.222.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Third
6974
#17
16.70.3
16.516.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 2.4
5726
#21
19.10.6
18.519.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3