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Red139
557260.4
258246.4
697416.7
Blue36
354522.9
572619.1
461025.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150755010020013936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+85Teleop
+97Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +71
16Coral scored#4
56Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
84Total teleop13
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +103
6Foul points0
139Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.2
59.960.1
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 35.0
4610
#18
25.40.7
25.424.7
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
46.40.2
45.946.2
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 23.5
22.90.8
23.022.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Third
6974
#17
16.70.2
16.216.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 2.4
5726
#21
19.10.7
19.218.5
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3