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Red107
354522.9
572619.1
461025.4
Blue104
542728.4
356127.0
510324.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7089020406080100120140160107104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
17Coral scored#16
62Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
82Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
107Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#18
25.40.7
24.725.4
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 3.0
5427
#38
28.40.3
28.128.4
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
22.90.8
22.223.0
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
blue by 4.1
3561
#11
27.00.3
26.727.0
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Third
5726
#21
19.10.7
18.519.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
blue by 5.7
5103
#12
24.80.3
24.524.8
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0