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Red78
461025.4
749232.7
116420.8
Blue19
861012.0
708811.7
862515.3
76%Model gave it24%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684502060801001201407819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
62Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
78Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.5
19.420.9
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 17.4
8625
#35
15.32.1
12.910.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Second
4610
#18
25.40.9
15.516.5
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
red by 13.4
8610
#39
12.01.9
10.68.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
1164
#13
20.81.5
20.722.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.7
red by 9.0
7088
#31
11.73.2
18.215.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed