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Red89
882720.6
373530.8
61558.9
Blue67
58949.0
71389.6
808836.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496602040801001201408967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points40
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
6Processor points0
0Net points12
6Algae points12
36Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
36Foul points6
89Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.3
20.220.5
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End1.4
blue by 5.6
36.40.1
32.032.1
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
Second
8827
#33
20.60.5
19.319.8
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
red by 11.0
7138
#25
9.60.1
9.39.4
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
6155
#26
8.90.3
8.89.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 0.2
5894
#42
9.00.2
18.118.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed