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Red67
265711.2
356127.0
295018.0
Blue98
749232.7
808836.4
473429.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619202040801001201406798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+35
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
57Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#24
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
67Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#11
27.00.0
19.119.1
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
blue by 9.5
36.40.6
33.534.1
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
Second
2950
#15
18.00.0
18.918.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 14.8
32.71.0
22.623.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Third
2657
#14
11.20.1
16.416.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 18.1
4734
#10
29.31.0
19.420.3
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed