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Red10
708811.7
58949.0
116420.8
Blue101
550317.1
459711.5
557260.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59860204010012010101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+67
Endgame+79
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +57
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points29
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
0Processor points12
0Net points16
0Algae points28
0Total teleop57
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points12
10Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1164
#13
20.84.9
19.614.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.7
blue by 39.7
60.41.1
50.251.3
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
7088
#31
11.74.9
14.19.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 5.4
5503
#22
17.11.1
7.68.7
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
5894
#42
9.04.9
20.015.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 2.5
4597
#20
11.51.8
15.317.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned