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Red49
367929.5
697416.7
296911.1
Blue15
966415.1
71389.6
811414.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5925040801004915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
3Coral scored#1
11Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
15Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
18Foul points0
49Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.6
23.922.3
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
red by 14.4
9664
#34
15.11.0
5.44.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Second
6974
#17
16.72.7
13.410.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 2.5
8114
#36
14.31.6
13.712.0
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Third
2969
#23
11.11.6
11.710.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End3.0
red by 1.5
7138
#25
9.61.0
7.86.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed