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Red47
348113.1
373530.8
59866.5
Blue21
965814.1
952411.3
43328.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504620304060704721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +20
7Coral scored#3
26Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
34Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
47Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.3
22.122.4
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End1.4
red by 16.8
9658
#24
14.12.1
13.911.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Second
3481
#28
13.10.5
15.215.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 1.8
9524
#41
11.32.1
14.212.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Third
5986
#16
6.50.3
5.25.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 1.8
4332
#29
8.32.1
12.09.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed