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Red87
861012.0
258246.4
752112.7
Blue77
542728.4
421917.9
510324.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66613040507080908777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
64Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
87Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.41.2
41.342.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 18.0
5427
#38
28.41.2
23.825.0
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
12.71.2
7.18.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 12.1
5103
#12
24.80.7
18.719.4
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Third
8610
#39
12.01.2
8.09.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 5.9
4219
#30
17.90.7
13.213.9
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed