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Red79
557260.4
32409.1
265711.2
Blue123
295018.0
116420.8
882720.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10664020408012014016079123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
Fouls+44
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
49Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points84
79Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.6
51.350.7
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 39.7
1164
#13
20.81.9
14.712.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.7
Second
2657
#14
11.20.9
16.415.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 9.4
8827
#33
20.61.9
19.417.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Third
3240
#32
9.10.9
14.113.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
blue by 8.8
2950
#15
18.01.1
18.917.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned