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Red33
966415.1
753410.2
697416.7
Blue56
61558.9
550317.1
749232.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27450204060803356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Coral scored#8
15Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
21Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
33Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6974
#17
16.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 16.0
32.71.1
23.624.7
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Second
9664
#34
15.10.0
4.44.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 2.0
5503
#22
17.10.7
8.79.3
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
7534
#37
10.20.0
10.710.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 1.3
6155
#26
8.90.7
7.58.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed