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Red61
572619.1
952411.3
459711.5
Blue83
23136.6
752112.7
510324.8
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496302040801006183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
52Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
61Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5726
#21
19.10.5
16.216.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
blue by 17.4
231
#7
36.60.9
26.827.7
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
Second
4597
#20
11.50.9
17.117.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 13.3
5103
#12
24.80.9
19.420.3
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Third
9524
#41
11.30.9
12.112.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.5
blue by 1.4
12.70.9
8.49.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed