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Red15
708811.7
859812.5
421917.9
Blue50
354522.9
861012.0
542728.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3664020801001201550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+35
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
4Total teleop23
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points12
15Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#30
17.91.2
13.912.7
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
blue by 10.5
5427
#38
28.41.4
25.023.6
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
8598
#19
12.51.2
9.88.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 10.5
22.91.4
16.715.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Third
7088
#31
11.72.0
9.37.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 0.3
8610
#39
12.00.9
9.28.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed