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Red50
296911.1
749232.7
32409.1
Blue48
265711.2
116420.8
367929.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585901001502005048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
5Coral scored#5
18Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
30Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
50Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.1
24.724.7
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 3.2
29.50.8
22.621.8
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
Second
2969
#23
11.10.0
10.210.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End3.0
blue by 9.6
1164
#13
20.81.3
12.811.5
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.7
Third
3240
#32
9.10.1
13.213.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
blue by 2.1
2657
#14
11.21.3
15.514.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed