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Red17
58949.0
697416.7
550317.1
Blue35
295018.0
94447.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404602060801735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +17
1Coral scored#4
2Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
2Total teleop19
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
17Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5503
#22
17.11.1
9.38.2
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 0.8
2950
#15
18.00.4
17.817.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Second
6974
#17
16.71.8
10.78.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 8.0
8.70.4
10.910.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Third
5894
#42
9.01.8
13.311.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
red by 1.2
9444
#27
7.80.4
6.15.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed