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Red20
752112.7
965814.1
753410.2
Blue61
71389.6
572619.1
510324.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500204060802061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +39
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
0Total teleop39
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
12Foul points12
20Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9658
#24
14.12.7
12.19.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 10.7
5103
#12
24.80.3
20.320.6
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Second
12.71.6
9.37.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 6.4
5726
#21
19.10.3
16.717.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
Third
7534
#37
10.22.7
10.78.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 0.6
7138
#25
9.60.3
6.97.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed