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Red81
882720.6
966415.1
808836.4
Blue77
23136.6
862515.3
952411.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64562040801008177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
66Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points8
81Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.3
34.435.7
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
blue by 0.1
231
#7
36.60.9
27.728.6
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
Second
8827
#33
20.62.2
17.519.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
red by 5.3
8625
#35
15.30.9
9.09.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Third
9664
#34
15.11.3
4.45.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 3.8
9524
#41
11.31.5
12.914.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed