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Red37
811414.3
43328.3
861012.0
Blue84
59866.5
356127.0
557260.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258904060801001201403784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#11
12Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
18Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points0
37Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8114
#36
14.30.4
12.512.1
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 46.1
60.40.5
50.751.2
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
8610
#39
12.00.2
8.48.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 15.0
3561
#11
27.00.5
19.219.7
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Third
4332
#29
8.30.4
10.510.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 1.8
5986
#16
6.50.5
4.44.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned