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Red58
510324.8
862515.3
966415.1
Blue32
32409.1
295018.0
58949.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4454020801001201405832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
41Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points0
58Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5103
#12
24.81.3
20.621.9
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 6.8
2950
#15
18.00.7
17.416.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Second
8625
#35
15.31.3
9.911.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 6.2
3240
#32
9.11.1
13.112.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Third
9664
#34
15.11.3
5.77.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 6.1
5894
#42
9.01.1
11.510.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed