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Red77
258246.4
550317.1
708811.7
Blue57
753410.2
808836.4
952411.3
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72684060801007757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto3
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
48Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
77Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.41.0
42.543.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 10.0
36.40.2
35.735.5
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
Second
5503
#22
17.11.0
8.29.2
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
red by 5.8
9524
#41
11.30.3
14.414.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Third
7088
#31
11.71.6
11.913.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 1.5
7534
#37
10.20.3
8.07.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed