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Red61
373530.8
354522.9
43328.3
Blue67
749232.7
265711.2
861012.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63532030407080901006167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
35Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points2
61Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.1
23.823.9
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End1.4
blue by 1.9
32.71.3
24.726.0
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Second
22.90.2
19.920.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
red by 10.9
8610
#39
12.00.8
8.18.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
4332
#29
8.30.2
10.210.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 3.0
2657
#14
11.21.3
14.215.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed