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Red74
459711.5
367929.5
71389.6
Blue43
461025.4
473429.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49602040801001207443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
60Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
74Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.9
21.823.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
red by 0.2
4734
#10
29.31.0
23.022.1
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
Second
4597
#20
11.53.1
17.120.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 13.9
4610
#18
25.40.6
18.217.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Third
7138
#25
9.61.9
7.29.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 0.9
8.70.6
10.510.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed