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Red45
882720.6
348113.1
421917.9
Blue90
859812.5
557260.4
811414.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4484020601001201404590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +39
4Coral scored#13
15Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
25Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
45Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#33
20.60.6
19.719.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
blue by 39.8
60.40.8
51.252.0
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
4219
#30
17.90.4
12.211.8
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 3.7
8114
#36
14.31.3
12.113.5
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Third
3481
#28
13.10.6
13.713.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 0.7
8598
#19
12.50.8
8.69.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned