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Red65
59866.5
23136.6
965814.1
Blue65
356127.0
542728.4
61558.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475802040801001206565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
41Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points18
65Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#7
36.6
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
red by 8.2
5427
#38
28.4
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
9658
#24
14.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 12.9
3561
#11
27.0
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Third
5986
#16
6.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 2.4
6155
#26
8.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed