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Red51
550317.1
572619.1
966415.1
Blue84
296911.1
808836.4
258246.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291100501001505184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
34Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
51Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5726
#21
19.10.7
18.118.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
blue by 27.3
46.40.4
43.543.1
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Second
5503
#22
17.10.7
9.29.9
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 19.3
36.40.4
35.535.1
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
Third
9664
#34
15.10.7
7.07.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 4.0
2969
#23
11.10.4
11.110.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned