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Red61
965814.1
859812.5
473429.3
Blue54
753410.2
367929.5
550317.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515802040801006154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
34Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
18Foul points6
61Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#10
29.30.3
20.019.7
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
blue by 0.2
29.50.2
24.224.1
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
Second
9658
#24
14.10.3
14.914.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 3.1
5503
#22
17.10.2
9.29.1
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
8598
#19
12.50.2
10.810.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 2.2
7534
#37
10.20.3
17.116.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed