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Red49
295018.0
697416.7
354522.9
Blue42
43328.3
348113.1
23136.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678302040601001201404942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#4
26Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
36Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
49Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.4
17.516.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
blue by 13.7
231
#7
36.62.0
27.425.4
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
Second
2950
#15
18.00.9
21.220.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
red by 4.8
3481
#28
13.13.3
22.619.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
6974
#17
16.71.4
17.215.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 8.4
4332
#29
8.33.3
16.212.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed