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Red34
862515.3
459711.5
58949.0
Blue50
354522.9
265711.2
71389.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43482060803450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
21Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
34Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8625
#35
15.31.1
11.210.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 7.6
22.90.3
20.119.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Second
4597
#20
11.51.9
20.218.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
red by 0.3
2657
#14
11.20.3
15.515.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Third
5894
#42
9.01.9
10.48.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 0.6
7138
#25
9.60.2
9.18.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned