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Red89
749232.7
859812.5
94447.8
Blue73
510324.8
882720.6
811414.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4462020801001201408973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
62Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
89Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.73.3
26.029.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 7.9
5103
#12
24.80.1
21.922.1
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Second
8598
#19
12.52.0
9.411.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 8.1
8827
#33
20.60.2
19.119.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Third
9444
#27
7.82.0
6.58.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End-0.7
blue by 6.5
8114
#36
14.30.2
13.513.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed