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Red93
421917.9
557260.4
752112.7
Blue14
61558.9
43328.3
753410.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891904060801001201409314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+63Teleop
+73Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
10Coral scored#1
36Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
50Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
6Foul points0
93Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.8
52.052.8
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 50.2
7534
#37
10.21.6
7.76.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Second
4219
#30
17.90.8
11.812.5
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 9.1
6155
#26
8.91.0
7.76.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
12.70.8
8.79.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 4.4
4332
#29
8.31.6
10.48.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed