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Red69
116420.8
862515.3
354522.9
Blue21
58949.0
296911.1
952411.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513702060801006921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
7Coral scored#2
25Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
33Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
20Foul points0
69Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.6
19.920.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
red by 11.6
9524
#41
11.31.3
14.513.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Second
1164
#13
20.80.6
13.213.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.7
red by 9.6
2969
#23
11.10.8
10.79.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End3.0
Third
8625
#35
15.30.4
10.110.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 6.3
5894
#42
9.01.3
8.57.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed