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Red59
459711.5
811414.3
749232.7
Blue50
965814.1
882720.6
572619.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745920401001201405950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points0
59Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.72.0
29.327.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 12.1
8827
#33
20.61.4
19.317.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Second
8114
#36
14.32.0
13.711.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 4.9
5726
#21
19.10.9
18.817.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
Third
4597
#20
11.52.0
18.316.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 2.6
9658
#24
14.11.4
13.211.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed