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Red60
71389.6
295018.0
23136.6
Blue41
356127.0
861012.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694202060801001206041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
42Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
60Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#7
36.60.3
30.230.4
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
red by 9.6
3561
#11
27.00.1
21.221.4
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Second
2950
#15
18.00.3
17.017.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
red by 5.9
8610
#39
12.00.1
9.29.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
7138
#25
9.60.3
8.99.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 0.9
8.70.1
8.88.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed