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Red37
94447.8
461025.4
550317.1
Blue61
808836.4
59866.5
421917.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4061020801001203761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
5Coral scored#13
19Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
29Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
37Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#18
25.40.1
19.919.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 11.1
36.40.6
35.135.7
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
Second
5503
#22
17.10.1
9.99.8
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 0.8
4219
#30
17.90.6
12.513.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Third
9444
#27
7.80.1
8.58.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End-0.7
red by 1.3
5986
#16
6.50.6
3.74.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed