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Red96
473429.3
753410.2
542728.4
Blue125
348113.1
557260.4
697416.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5889020408010012014096125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
78Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points0
96Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#10
29.31.5
24.726.2
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
blue by 31.1
60.41.8
52.854.5
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
5427
#38
28.41.6
26.027.6
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 11.7
6974
#17
16.72.7
12.214.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
7534
#37
10.21.5
6.17.6
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
blue by 2.9
3481
#28
13.12.7
13.616.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned