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Red31
32409.1
708811.7
61558.9
Blue34
752112.7
43328.3
367929.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32510204060801003134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+15Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
12Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#2
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points24
31Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7088
#31
11.70.8
11.510.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 17.8
29.52.3
26.023.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
Second
3240
#32
9.10.8
14.013.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
blue by 3.6
12.72.3
9.57.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
6155
#26
8.90.5
6.76.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
red by 0.6
4332
#29
8.33.5
8.85.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed