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Red48
697416.7
265711.2
459711.5
Blue121
557260.4
753410.2
461025.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010602040608012014016048121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+65
Endgame+75
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +54
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
14Total teleop68
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
18Foul points16
48Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6974
#17
16.72.4
14.912.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 43.7
60.41.0
54.555.5
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
4597
#20
11.52.4
16.313.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 13.9
4610
#18
25.41.0
19.820.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Third
2657
#14
11.22.4
15.613.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
red by 1.0
7534
#37
10.21.4
7.69.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned