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Red64
859812.5
367929.5
861012.0
Blue90
473429.3
61558.9
752112.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54450204060801006490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
51Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points8
64Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
23.723.9
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
red by 0.2
4734
#10
29.33.2
26.229.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
Second
8598
#19
12.50.2
13.113.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 0.3
12.72.2
7.29.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
8610
#39
12.00.2
9.39.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 3.1
6155
#26
8.92.2
6.38.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned