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Red48
550317.1
71389.6
59866.5
Blue30
572619.1
348113.1
32409.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1756040801001204830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
26Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
12Foul points0
48Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5503
#22
17.10.8
9.810.7
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 2.0
5726
#21
19.11.2
17.916.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
Second
7138
#25
9.60.8
9.210.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 3.5
3481
#28
13.11.7
16.314.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
5986
#16
6.50.8
4.35.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 2.6
3240
#32
9.11.8
13.211.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed