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Red60
43328.3
510324.8
295018.0
Blue52
708811.7
94447.8
542728.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505701001506052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
45Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
60Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5103
#12
24.80.4
22.322.8
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
blue by 3.6
5427
#38
28.40.3
27.627.3
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
2950
#15
18.00.4
17.317.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
red by 6.2
7088
#31
11.70.3
10.810.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Third
4332
#29
8.30.6
5.25.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 0.5
9444
#27
7.80.2
8.48.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed