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Red58
697416.7
882720.6
861012.0
Blue126
557260.4
367929.5
58949.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4110705015058126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+60
Endgame+60
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +46
5Coral scored#18
19Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
33Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#10
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points8
58Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#33
20.60.4
16.917.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
blue by 39.8
60.41.3
55.556.7
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
6974
#17
16.70.4
12.512.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 12.8
29.51.3
23.925.2
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
Third
8610
#39
12.00.3
9.59.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 3.0
5894
#42
9.01.7
6.58.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned