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Red63
356127.0
965814.1
550317.1
Blue57
966415.1
752112.7
461025.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434602060801006357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points27
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
47Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
63Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#11
27.00.9
20.721.6
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
red by 1.6
4610
#18
25.40.5
20.821.3
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
5503
#22
17.10.9
10.711.5
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
red by 2.0
9664
#34
15.10.5
10.511.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Third
9658
#24
14.11.2
11.012.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 1.4
12.70.5
9.49.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed