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Red60
71389.6
542728.4
43328.3
Blue73
808836.4
354522.9
459711.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4383020601001201406073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
33Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
14Foul points18
60Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#38
28.40.2
27.327.0
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
blue by 8.0
36.41.5
37.035.5
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
Second
7138
#25
9.60.2
10.09.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 13.3
22.92.1
20.118.0
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Third
4332
#29
8.30.2
5.95.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 3.2
4597
#20
11.51.9
13.911.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned