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Red38
572619.1
61558.9
859812.5
Blue43
295018.0
473429.3
59866.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456802060801001201401603843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
20Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points2
38Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5726
#21
19.10.4
16.816.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
blue by 10.2
4734
#10
29.31.5
29.427.8
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
Second
8598
#19
12.50.4
13.312.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 5.5
2950
#15
18.01.2
17.716.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Third
6155
#26
8.90.4
8.58.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
red by 2.4
5986
#16
6.51.2
5.24.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed