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Red89
752112.7
116420.8
356127.0
Blue78
550317.1
882720.6
862515.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5543020801001208978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
71Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
89Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#11
27.02.5
21.624.1
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
red by 6.4
8827
#33
20.63.0
17.320.2
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Second
1164
#13
20.83.1
16.719.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.7
red by 3.6
5503
#22
17.12.2
11.513.7
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
12.72.5
9.912.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 2.6
8625
#35
15.32.2
13.015.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed